ES Wasquehal vs US Thionville Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
16º
11º
4
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
11 | 59 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 58 |
2º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 54 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 52 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 51 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 49 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 39 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 36 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 34 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 34 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 34 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 32 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 31 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 30 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 27 |
16º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
62.5% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
28.5% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Wasquehal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 0
ESW
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ESW
0 - 2
VHO
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 1
ESW
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 3
ESW
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ESW
2 - 1
COL
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
US Thionville Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
THL
1 - 1
CHA
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FUR
2 - 0
THL
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
DIJ
2 - 0
THL
77%
15%
9%
|
39 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
ASN
1 - 0
THL
80%
13%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UNA
1 - 1
THL
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |