Wangen vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 2
WAN
83%
11%
6%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
WAN
1 - 3
BLA
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
WAN
2 - 0
THU
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
WAN
1 - 4
ZOF
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
FCG
3 - 0
WAN
49%
24%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
1 - 1
MUN
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 3
BAD
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 24 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
SOL
1 - 3
BAD
24%
24%
52%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
BAD
0 - 0
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 2
BAD
19%
22%
58%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |