Wandsbeker Concordia vs TSV Sasel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
63.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
8º
8º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wandsbeker Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 0
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
OSD
2 - 0
WAN
29%
22%
50%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
WAN
1 - 1
ALT
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 3
WAN
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 2
THA
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 1
EIM
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 1
DAS
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 3
SAS
15%
18%
68%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 4
SAS
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HEB
1 - 4
SAS
26%
21%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |