Walter Ormeño vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walter Ormeño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 1
WAL
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
DEF
1 - 0
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
WAL
3 - 0
ACR
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
SBO
1 - 0
WAL
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
LOS
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
AUN
4 - 4
LOS
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
AUN
1 - 0
MUN
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
AUN
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
AUN
6 - 1
SPO
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
AUN
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |