Walsall vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
BCF
1 - 2
WAL
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
WAL
2 - 1
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 1
MAC
73%
16%
11%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
WAL
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 0
WAL
36%
27%
37%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
MAN
2 - 0
SWI
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 0
MOR
49%
24%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
BCF
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
GUL
0 - 1
SWI
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
SWI
3 - 1
CUM
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |