Walsall vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
GUL
0 - 0
WAL
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
SHW
1 - 0
WAL
43%
26%
32%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
WAL
2 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
OLD
5 - 3
WAL
51%
24%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
BOU
2 - 2
WAL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SWI
3 - 0
HAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
RUS
0 - 1
SWI
32%
25%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 2
SWI
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 1
MKD
64%
21%
16%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
SWI
2 - 3
LUT
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |