Walsall vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1999 |
STO
2 - 0
WAL
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1999 |
WAL
2 - 2
FUL
38%
29%
34%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
WAL
3 - 1
OLD
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
LIN
0 - 1
WAL
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1999 |
PNE
1 - 0
WAL
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1999 |
SWI
1 - 3
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWI
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SWI
2 - 0
GRI
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
CRY
0 - 1
SWI
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
WBA
1 - 1
SWI
68%
19%
13%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |