Walsall vs Port Vale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
WAL
3 - 2
COV
34%
24%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
WAL
0 - 2
CHA
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
WAL
1 - 3
BUR
39%
26%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
WAL
3 - 2
WYC
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 0
WAL
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Port Vale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
SUN
13%
19%
68%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
BCF
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
STE
0 - 0
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
OLD
0 - 1
POR
63%
22%
16%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |