EFL Cup 1/64
Global 2-1
Walsall vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
WAL
3 - 2
OLD
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
ROT
2 - 3
WAL
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
IPS
2 - 0
WAL
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
WAL
1 - 0
OPA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
BIR
2 - 0
WAL
68%
21%
12%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2000 |
SCU
2 - 0
KID
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2000 |
KID
2 - 0
GUL
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 1998 |
KID
0 - 0
PLY
49%
23%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
PLY
0 - 0
KID
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
CRE
4 - 1
KID
74%
15%
11%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |