Walsall vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
CUM
1 - 1
WAL
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WAL
0 - 1
BRI
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 0
WAL
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 0
STF
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 2
WAL
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
GIL
2 - 0
TRA
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LEY
5 - 1
GIL
62%
22%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2014 |
POS
2 - 0
GIL
70%
18%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GIL
3 - 4
ROT
26%
26%
48%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2014 |
MKD
0 - 1
GIL
60%
22%
18%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |