Walsall vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
3 - 2
GIL
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
COL
4 - 4
WAL
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
WAL
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
1 - 2
CHE
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
WAL
2 - 0
BUR
39%
28%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
FLE
0 - 1
CHE
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
FLE
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
SHE
3 - 0
FLE
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FLE
4 - 0
BUR
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
FLE
0 - 1
COV
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |