FA Cup 1/128
Global 4-3
Walsall vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 4
BCF
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 1
WAL
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
HUR
1 - 1
WAL
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
0 - 2
MKD
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 2
EXE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
YEO
2 - 2
EXE
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
EXE
1 - 1
WAL
53%
24%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
EXE
0 - 0
CUM
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SHE
4 - 4
EXE
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 2
EXE
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |