EFL Cup 1/64
Global 3-0
Walsall vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
CHE
3 - 1
WAL
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1997 |
PNE
2 - 0
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1997 |
GIL
2 - 0
WAL
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
WAL
1 - 0
BRE
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1997 |
PLY
2 - 0
WAL
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1997 |
CUM
2 - 0
EXE
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
EXE
1 - 5
CHE
41%
28%
31%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1997 |
EXE
3 - 3
LIN
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
EXE
1 - 1
GUL
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1997 |
DON
1 - 2
EXE
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |