Walsall vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ROC
3 - 3
WAL
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
WAL
3 - 1
COL
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 1
STE
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
SHW
2 - 2
WAL
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
YEO
2 - 1
WAL
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 4
SCU
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
SHE
4 - 1
CHE
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 0
SWI
35%
25%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 2
HUR
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
MKD
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |