Walsall vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 1
CRA
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CUM
0 - 0
WAL
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
WYC
0 - 2
WAL
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
1 - 0
ROC
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
3 - 1
TOW
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SAL
1 - 4
CUM
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CUM
0 - 0
WAL
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
TOW
3 - 3
CUM
29%
25%
45%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CUM
2 - 1
TRA
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TRA
0 - 2
CUM
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |