Walsall vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walsall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SCU
1 - 1
WAL
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 1
SHE
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
WAL
4 - 0
COV
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
YEO
0 - 0
WAL
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
HAR
0 - 0
WAL
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
BCF
2 - 1
SCU
42%
26%
31%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BCF
0 - 1
OLD
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
HAR
2 - 0
BCF
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
LEY
2 - 0
BCF
61%
23%
17%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
BCF
2 - 2
CRE
26%
25%
49%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |