Wake Forest vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wake Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
WKD
2 - 1
KTW
64%
19%
18%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
WKD
3 - 2
COC
67%
18%
16%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CET
0 - 0
WKD
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
WKD
2 - 1
LOC
69%
17%
15%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NDF
2 - 3
WKD
15%
18%
67%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2021 |
NCA
1 - 1
STA
45%
22%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NCA
1 - 1
CLT
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
DBD
0 - 1
NCA
35%
22%
43%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
NCA
0 - 1
VTH
76%
14%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NDF
1 - 2
NCA
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |