Wake Forest vs NC State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wake Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
WKD
3 - 2
BCE
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 1
WKD
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
USB
0 - 1
WKD
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
MGW
1 - 3
WKD
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MLT
0 - 3
WKD
24%
21%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
NC State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 0
NCS
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
NCS
2 - 3
COC
24%
21%
56%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |