Wake Forest vs Louisville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
14.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wake Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NDF
2 - 3
WKD
15%
18%
67%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
WKD
0 - 0
NCS
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
WKD
3 - 2
BCE
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 1
WKD
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
USB
0 - 1
WKD
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Louisville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BCE
4 - 0
LOC
23%
21%
57%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 1
SYO
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
LOC
3 - 0
NCS
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GTH
5 - 1
LOC
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
LOC
1 - 0
UDA
65%
18%
17%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |