Wake Forest vs Kentucky analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Wake Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
WKD
3 - 2
COC
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CET
0 - 0
WKD
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
WKD
2 - 1
LOC
69%
17%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
NDF
2 - 3
WKD
15%
18%
67%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
WKD
0 - 0
NCS
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Kentucky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
KTW
2 - 0
NHW
23%
21%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
SCL
1 - 2
KTW
31%
22%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
KTW
2 - 1
OLD
78%
13%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FIP
1 - 1
KTW
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UAB
1 - 0
KTW
12%
16%
72%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | -1 |