Waitakere United vs Waikato FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
4 - 2
AUC
51%
24%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 0
HAW
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
ADE
2 - 1
WAI
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
3 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
AUC
3 - 0
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 1
HAW
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |