Waitakere United vs Southern United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
WAI
3 - 0
TAS
55%
23%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 5
WAI
37%
24%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WAI
0 - 3
TEA
28%
23%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
HAW
3 - 1
WAI
22%
22%
57%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
WAI
5 - 3
TAS
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Southern United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TEA
3 - 1
SOU
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
HAW
0 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
SOU
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HAW
1 - 3
SOU
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
HAW
60%
21%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |