Waitakere United vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
HAW
1 - 0
WAI
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 7
WAI
18%
22%
60%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAI
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
33%
25%
43%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AMD
0 - 1
WAI
7%
13%
80%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
OTA
1 - 2
TEA
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
OTA
0 - 2
WAI
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AUC
3 - 0
OTA
76%
15%
8%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 0
CAN
39%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OTA
2 - 0
HAW
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +2 |