Waitakere United vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 2
WAI
21%
24%
55%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
WAI
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
4 - 2
AUC
51%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 0
HAW
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
3 - 3
WAI
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 0
OTA
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 2
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 1
AUC
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
OTA
1 - 3
HAW
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |