Waitakere United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 9
WAI
16%
21%
63%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
TEA
1 - 3
WAI
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 3
WAI
40%
25%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 1
HAW
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
WAI
4 - 1
OTA
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 5
HAW
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 4
OTA
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AUC
4 - 0
MAN
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 2
CAN
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 3
WAI
54%
22%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |