Waitakere United vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CAN
4 - 0
WAI
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
WAI
2 - 3
WAI
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 2
WAI
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 1
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
OTA
1 - 2
WAI
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 2
TEA
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 3
OTA
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
HAW
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 2
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |