Waitakere United vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
WAI
6 - 2
CAN
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 2
WAI
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AUC
1 - 0
WAI
54%
21%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
WAI
6 - 1
WAI
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 2
HAW
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
GAI
3 - 3
MAG
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
HIE
2 - 0
MAG
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
TEF
0 - 3
MAG
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 1
AUC
10%
16%
74%
|
29 | 69 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AMD
2 - 0
MAG
57%
20%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |