Waitakere United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
WAI
3 - 0
HAW
72%
16%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HAW
3 - 2
WAI
24%
22%
54%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 1
WAI
32%
24%
44%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
WAI
1 - 0
EAS
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 2
WAI
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EAS
4 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
HAW
3 - 4
SOU
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
HAW
2 - 1
CAN
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TAS
3 - 1
HAW
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HAW
0 - 2
WEL
70%
17%
13%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |