Waitakere United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 1
WAI
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
TEA
3 - 1
WAI
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
WAI
1 - 5
WAI
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
WAI
33%
23%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 4
AUC
31%
25%
45%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
HAW
5 - 5
WEL
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
HAW
2 - 0
CAN
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 1
HAW
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 0
SOU
73%
16%
11%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
HAW
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |