Waitakere United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
TEF
3 - 1
WAI
13%
18%
69%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
6 - 1
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
TEA
1 - 2
WAI
44%
24%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
0 - 1
AUC
54%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
75%
17%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
HAW
1 - 2
CAN
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
OTA
0 - 0
HAW
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
HAW
2 - 1
MAN
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 0
HAW
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
AUC
5 - 0
HAW
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |