Waitakere United vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
ADE
2 - 1
WAI
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 1
CAN
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
AUC
1 - 2
WAI
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
WAI
0 - 1
HAW
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
OTA
1 - 3
HAW
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HAW
1 - 2
CAN
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
75%
15%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |