Waitakere United vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BAF
3 - 2
WAI
10%
16%
74%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
3 - 1
TEA
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
TEF
3 - 0
WAI
12%
16%
72%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
WAI
4 - 0
WAI
78%
15%
7%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 1
WAI
52%
23%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
3 - 0
OTA
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TEA
1 - 1
CAN
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CAN
7 - 0
HAW
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
WAI
0 - 3
CAN
39%
26%
34%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
9 - 1
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |