Premiership Semi-finals
Global 1-7
Waitakere United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
WAI
4 - 0
TEA
33%
23%
44%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 0
WAI
69%
17%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
WAI
39%
25%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 1
WAI
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
HAW
3 - 2
WAI
46%
24%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
WEL
0 - 7
AUC
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 0
WAI
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 1
CAN
74%
16%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 0
TEA
53%
21%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +2 |