Waitakere United vs Auckland City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
WAI
5 - 0
TEA
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 1
WAI
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PVS
2 - 3
WAI
13%
18%
69%
|
69 | 8 | 61 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
2 - 2
WAI
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
2 - 3
WAI
16%
24%
60%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
3 - 0
MAN
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 1
AUC
43%
25%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
CAN
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
AUC
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
AUC
8 - 1
PVS
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |