OFC Champions Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Waitakere United vs Amicale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.6%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.1%
5-0
10.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
+5
12.2%
4-0
13.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
4.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
0.6%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.9%
1.2%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waitakere United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
AMI
0 - 2
WAI
5%
10%
86%
|
68 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
AMD
2 - 3
WAI
5%
10%
85%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
AUC
0 - 1
WAI
56%
20%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
WAI
3 - 1
AMD
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
0 - 1
WAI
6%
10%
84%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Amicale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
AMI
0 - 2
WAI
5%
10%
86%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BAF
2 - 0
AMI
71%
16%
13%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AMI
1 - 2
BAF
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 0
HEK
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AMI
2 - 0
SOL
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |