Waimakariri United vs Universities AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waimakariri United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
WMK
13 - 0
OFC
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
UOC
3 - 2
WMK
22%
19%
59%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
STA
1 - 6
WMK
26%
20%
54%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
COA
3 - 1
WMK
79%
14%
8%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
OBO
0 - 10
WMK
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 7
CAS
4%
8%
88%
|
6 | 39 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
6 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
NSF
6%
11%
84%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
4 - 3
UOC
88%
8%
4%
|
6 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 2
SUF
28%
21%
51%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | -1 |