Waikato FC vs Otago United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
1 - 2
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CAN
2 - 0
WAI
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
4 - 2
HAW
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
WAI
78%
14%
7%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
4 - 1
WAI
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Otago United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
OTA
1 - 2
WAI
19%
24%
57%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TEA
0 - 2
OTA
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 1
OTA
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OTA
0 - 0
AUC
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |