Waikato FC vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAN
4 - 0
WAI
77%
15%
8%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
TEA
1 - 0
WAI
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 9
WAI
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
HAW
4 - 0
WAI
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2013 |
WAI
1 - 4
AUC
23%
24%
52%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 6
TEA
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
WAI
4 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 5
HAW
26%
23%
52%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 4
OTA
52%
22%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
AUC
4 - 0
MAN
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | 0 |