Waikato FC vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
WAI
78%
14%
7%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TEA
4 - 1
WAI
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
WAI
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 1
WAI
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
OTA
3 - 3
WAI
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 0
OTA
63%
21%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
WAI
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 4
HAW
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
0 - 1
AUC
30%
26%
43%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
HAW
2 - 3
MAN
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |