Waikato FC vs Hawkes Bay United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
TEA
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
3 - 1
OTA
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CAN
0 - 1
WAI
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hawkes Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
OTA
1 - 3
HAW
37%
25%
38%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
HAW
1 - 2
CAN
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
75%
15%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 2
HAW
72%
17%
12%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
HAW
1 - 2
TEA
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |