Waikato FC vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Waikato FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AUC
0 - 0
WAI
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
OTA
0 - 2
WAI
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 3
WAI
60%
21%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 4
WAI
21%
24%
56%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
TEA
3 - 0
WAI
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
9 - 1
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AUC
3 - 0
CAN
72%
17%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAI
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 0
CAN
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
TEA
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |