WaiBOP vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
WaiBOP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 1
WAI
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
0 - 2
AUC
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WAN
1 - 2
WAI
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
WAI
2 - 1
TEA
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AUC
3 - 2
WAI
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WEL
2 - 4
HAW
36%
26%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
WEL
6 - 2
SOU
63%
21%
17%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
WAI
6 - 3
WEL
57%
23%
21%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
WAN
2 - 1
WEL
40%
25%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
WEL
3 - 4
TEA
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |