Walthamstow vs Real Bedford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Walthamstow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 0
WAL
34%
24%
41%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WAL
3 - 2
SAF
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BOW
2 - 4
WAL
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WAL
1 - 1
BUR
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
WAL
5 - 1
HEY
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Real Bedford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SAW
1 - 1
RBF
10%
15%
75%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
RBF
2 - 0
LON
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
RBF
0 - 0
TRI
74%
15%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
RBF
6 - 0
FCR
55%
19%
27%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RBF
4 - 0
STC
78%
13%
9%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |