SV Wacker Burghausen vs Illertissen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
9º
17º
9º
56
4º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 47 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Wacker Burghausen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
4 - 1
WAC
81%
13%
7%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AUG
3 - 1
WAC
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
WAC
5 - 3
MEM
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
WAC
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WAC
3 - 0
SCH
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Illertissen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 0
EIN
71%
17%
12%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ILL
2 - 2
GRE
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 3
ILL
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ILL
2 - 1
VIK
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ANS
4 - 0
ILL
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -2 |