SK Beveren vs RFC Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
11º
7º
23
9º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 68 |
1º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 58 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 54 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 51 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 49 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 41 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 33 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 33 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 28 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 26 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 24 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 24 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
57% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
41% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Beveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
KRC
3 - 3
WAA
21%
22%
57%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FBO
0 - 0
WAA
14%
21%
66%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
WAA
0 - 0
LOU
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
KSC
0 - 1
WAA
13%
21%
66%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
WAA
1 - 0
KSK
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
RFC Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
LIE
2 - 1
SER
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
LOM
0 - 2
LIE
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LIE
1 - 1
ZUL
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
RWD
2 - 1
LIE
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
GEN
1 - 3
LIE
47%
23%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |