SK Beveren vs Jong Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
9º
1º
6
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
8 | 61 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 58 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 55 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 52 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 51 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 46 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 42 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 42 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 39 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 37 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 37 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 33 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 31 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 30 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 23 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 22 |
16º
|
38% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
70.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Beveren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DES
2 - 3
WAA
8%
14%
77%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 0
WAA
20%
22%
58%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
EUP
2 - 2
WAA
18%
22%
61%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WAA
2 - 1
LOM
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
WAA
1 - 2
SGI
92%
6%
2%
|
79 | 47 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRC
1 - 2
FBO
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KRC
4 - 1
LIE
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SER
0 - 2
KRC
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KRC
4 - 0
OHL
74%
15%
10%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KVT
0 - 0
KRC
16%
17%
67%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |