W Connection vs Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
CON
8 - 1
POL
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ECM
1 - 1
CON
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
CON
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 4
CON
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
CON
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DON
1 - 0
VIC
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 1
AIG
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
VIC
42%
30%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
BAY
1 - 5
VIC
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2012 |
VIC
1 - 2
VAL
50%
27%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |