W Connection vs Point Fortin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
PUM
8 - 1
CON
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CON
2 - 2
POL
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
HNP
1 - 0
CON
52%
23%
26%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Point Fortin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
POI
2 - 2
POL
24%
22%
55%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
POI
0 - 2
PAU
31%
25%
43%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
POI
1 - 3
CAL
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
POI
5 - 0
POL
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
POI
0 - 3
CAL
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |