W Connection vs Point Fortin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
POL
2 - 4
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
CON
4 - 2
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
DEF
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Point Fortin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CEN
7 - 0
POI
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
POI
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
POL
3 - 2
POI
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ANN
1 - 0
POI
26%
22%
52%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
POI
1 - 0
CAL
56%
22%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |