CFU Championship Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
W Connection vs Cavaly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
CON
12 - 1
BES
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
BES
0 - 5
CON
51%
24%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CON
0 - 0
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
0 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
UPT
1 - 2
CON
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2009 |
BRI
0 - 1
CAV
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CAV
5 - 0
BRI
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAV
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CAV
0 - 1
BAL
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2008 |
CAV
3 - 0
ZFC
54%
26%
19%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |